117 Comments

While I think your theories are right, I think this whole article is very much Monday morning quarterbacking. If that bullet is an inch to the right, there would be no Trump movement for the regime to co-opt. And surely you're above saying they 'planned it' in any explicit sense, so it becomed just a matter of fortune, of destiny, in which case your theory landed the coin flip.

That being said, we are all emotional, nk doubt about that. I was driving through the heart of Trump country, twelve hour trip, seeing nothing but MAGA flags and posters along the way when I heard the news. I just white knuckled the steering wheel and muttered, "I thought we had more time" like Duke Leto. Emotions are very high here.

Expand full comment

I don't think this sort of thing is centrally planned by some kind of shadowy cabal, rather The Blob collectively updates its priors in response to big events like this. The regime is distributed across millions upon millions of people and uncountable different organizations and institutions, after all. They're not all receiving direct orders from a secret leftist conspiracy, but they are perfectly capable of sensing and responding to the current zeitgeist (as the author says, "regime apparatchiks tend to be people who can sniff the wind").

Another easy example would be that, while COVID may not have been deliberately planned to steal the 2020 election from Donald Trump, the regime was quite happy to wield it for that purpose once it happened.

Expand full comment

You are correct, it's an open conspiracy. Also, the regime has pulled back because if their stochastic terrorist had properly adjusted for windage, it would have lurched strongly to spinning out of control.

After all, many people (correctly) assume that if they're willing to create a condition where Trump's skull gets emptied on live TV, that they and everyone they love is next.

That's a regime-ending problem in a country where:

48 million Americans are presently classified as “Combat Capable,”

Approximately 30 million Americans own semi-automatic rifles, such as AR-15s.

14 million Americans are presently classified as “Combat Ready,” which means they consistently take part in tactical training courses, or do similar training, and demonstrate physical fitness and proficiency in handling firearms.

https://degraw.substack.com/p/heads-up-major-report-on-civilian

They have been playing at juggling dynamite and a lit torch, and they damn near dropped them all in a pile.

Expand full comment

Excellent article, but the evidence is ambivalent.

Fact: a would-be assassin attempted to murder DJT.

Available inferences: (1) the country is spiraling out of control into a vortex of violence (admittedly somewhat histrionic but not unsupported); (2) power hungry elites know that violence does not play well with the public and will tone down the rhetoric in order to preserve the power of the regime, easily weathering another Trump administration.

It is hardly crazy to maintain position number (1) the way Haywood does. Time will tell which theory is most cogent.

If I had to bet my life, I would bet theory number (2).

If I had to confess my hopes, they’re for number (1), as there is nothing in the world I detest more than this regime.

Expand full comment

Yup; that too. The regime doesn't WANT to see America spiral into a world of rioting; it's a fundamentally scary concept. So if they can tone down the rhetoric for just a bit, they'll all sleep a little safer. That doesn't mean they don't still plan to steal the election or just hate Trump; they just don't want actual deaths and riots yet.

Expand full comment

I don’t see how they can steal this election, even the democratic base wouldn’t believe the result at this point. From things I have read the Dem advisors and activists have thrown in the towel on the presidential election and are just going to salvage what they can with senate and house races

Expand full comment

Remember that the right has been the regime's whipping-boy non-stop since FDR and not once, not one single time, has there been any kind of serious violent response from the right. Never, in nearly a hundred years--no riots, no organizing for direct action, no nothing. The closest it ever came was Jan. 6 which is why that event made the left hysterical, but even that was not a serious attempt to do anything, it was just some impotent flailing by idiots in a moment of passion.

From this one might conclude that, yes, they can simply steal the election again, and no, no one would do anything about it. I actually think that it is more likely Trump will be allowed to "win" because there are enough players that would be okay with him at this point, but if they did decide to install Biden-Kamala, I'd bet the right would do nothing about it except yell on the Internet some more.

Expand full comment

Conservatives were always meant to be the court jesters, humiliated publicly (Nick Land) - https://files.catbox.moe/m8hfgo.png

Expand full comment

They don't even need to "steal" it per-se, they just need to get millions of illegals to vote. They can pretty easily flip most states, notably Texas. But if they replace Biden with Kamala, they have full plausibility.

Expand full comment

Except that's literally what the Regime did in 2020. They allowed riots from coast to coast and embraced far left extremists. Dozens died.

Expand full comment

Neema is far too conspiratorial and focused on the idea of the regime as a monolith, not individual actors looking out for their own best interests, but also given common marching orders through progressive universities. For example:

> While it is true that many crazy things have happened, such as the Trump conviction and trials, I maintained that these were the result of a few rogue elements and that overall the regime did not want any of that to happen

No, that *was* the regime, looking for ways to maintain power. The regime in America is not more fundamentally "competent" than in Brazil, or Kyrgyzstan, or Russia, or anywhere else where jailing political opponents is the order of the day.

Similarly, while *mentions* of DEI are down, diversity and quota-based hiring are still normalized because the incentive, ideological, and demographic pressures are all aligning to punish white men under the age of 25, but to do so in a way that doesn't overly alarm boomers or threaten white women (who now largely hold the levers of managerial power at the middle levels in the West)

Expand full comment
author

Simply reading the news and reporting what it is telling us directly is *not* "far too conspiratorial".

Expand full comment

Sometimes i wonder if you are a CIA agent, and i'm not joking. You campaigned for labour, you shill for the regime, you always have the most contrarian take. Maybe yes you are the big thinker with mad intuition, but maybe you're here to dial down the narrative or derrail the counterculture. A highly puzzling and interesting figure nonetheless. Since you are not writing the Boomer Truth anymore i think i'm done with your stuff. Thanks for the two books you published i guess...

Expand full comment

I think he's just a contrarian prick. Not to say I don't like his streams/videos/articles, but he's got a spiteful personality.

Expand full comment
author

What was spiteful about this article?

Expand full comment

Calling everyone on “the right” who disagrees with you “the slop”.

Expand full comment
founding

That is blatantly not what AA said. He said that the right-aligned outage media is The Slop, which is true.

Expand full comment

How is that "blatantly" different than what I said? AA is the poster boy for modern "Italian Elite Theory". He wrote multiple books on the topic. It's not a crazy leap to conflate "the right" and the "right wing media".

Expand full comment

"End Wokeness" and "Libs of TikTok" are slop and subversive agents

Expand full comment

That could be true.

Expand full comment

Libs of Tik Toc are hard core zionist, that makes them definitely subversive, at least to nationalists.

Expand full comment

Did AA say he's not writing Boomer Truth? I sure hope he changes his mind.

Expand full comment

He did on Unpopular Opinions, yes. Because he thinks "the boomer truth is already dead". His very own words.

Expand full comment
author

No Boomer Truth is still being written, but I am waiting for the outcome of the election

Expand full comment

To be honest, I share The Rake’s suspicion. You do at times seem quite enigmatic. I give you the benefit of the doubt because you are very bright and insightful (and incredibly humorous as well), but the suspicion does linger in the background. I often excuse your regime coded takes as someone who faithfully believes in Man as rational animal. I don’t share such a view, so maybe it’s just that fundamental disagreement which provokes doubt. Idk.

Expand full comment

Why does something that could become a timeless classic depends on the frugal trivialities of a fake and gay election of a nation in decline? I prey you reconsider the circunstances. Boomer Truth needs to be written. If Trump wins it will need to be written regardless.

Expand full comment

I'll go with Alias Doe's theory over Rake's. 😁

Expand full comment

Maybe this is right. It seems like your theory has some holes in it. If that bullet had been a mm to the right, all hell would have broken loose.

Expand full comment

https://floodphilosophy.substack.com/p/you-gentiles

How do you know Trump's ear was hit by a bullet?

Expand full comment

Good article with a perspective well worth considering

I would say yes and no to your analysis.

As always, the elite is split. Some elements want Trump dead. It's hard to explain the assassin's clear shot without recourse to collusion or at least deliberate neglect by his security people; incompetence alone doesn't cover it. The headlines you mention are an obvious and concerted attempt at event minimisation; it's got nothing to do with the technicalities of calling it an assassination.

On the other hand the regime media *did* flip the script very soon afterwards. The shooter was admitted to be a donor to the DEMONRATS and there was no real effort made to cast him as having had a 'history of mental illness', which for obvious reasons is the usual tactic adopted when a member of a protected group or other regime ally does something violent.

So you may well be right that there is a powerful faction of the elite wanting to shepherd Trump into office, shore up Israel (to which Trump, having no patience with keffiyah wearing students, has always been loyal), 'put away the Woke'--rhetorically at any rate--and reverse the competence crisis...a bit.

Expand full comment

You’re incorrect on “no attempt…at history of mental illness”…lone gunman script in the making. And of course the media will not connect the parental influence dots….kind of like Sam Bankman-Fried and his Stanford law professor parents.

Expand full comment

It's all irrelevant unless the Great Replacement is halted and reversed

Expand full comment

this is the truest of all things, which, unfortunately, very few dissidents have come to understand

Expand full comment

Thank you DerWaldgang. "Demographics is Destiny" - the future in a nutshell

Expand full comment

I think this is substantially wrong. There is no tactical advantage to avoid the expected behavior of condemning political violence after the failed assassination attempt -- even if they actively planned it. The unhinged people who wished it were successful are exactly the same people one expects to do it, and the vibe shift in Tech and Finance happened earlier than this largely because as much as they love being on the left, they love making money and keeping the gig running more and Biden is simply proving unworkable for them.

Part of the problem with this analysis is that there are some who are more Machiavellian and pragmatic but lack the competence to pull it off as effectively as their predecessors, which is largely the result of the current class of leaders simply not being the same caliber. Some of this may be DIE hiring, but probably as much or more is simply the mundane equivalent of grade inflation, legacy admissions, and lack of the existential threat types of battles to forge great men.

Another big part is that the individual incentives of each elite does not really match anything that can keep the nation together. An individually serious elite in politics will have a vision for achieving his own personal objectives but that doesn't include solving the wider scale problems existential to America.

Expand full comment

I agree that the regime does not want to see America collapse but I don't see how they could stop it from doing so with the chaos they've imported on mass. It might drag on but collapse is inevitable. What comes after is the only unknown

Expand full comment
Jul 16·edited Jul 16

I agree. No regime wants to see its own collapse, yet thousands of regimes have collapsed in the course of human history. Is this regime capable of avoiding collapse? They've been making things worse for themselves for years or even decades. The regime seems to have succeeded at destroying its course correction mechanisms as part of doing whatever it takes to maintain power. They had a perfectly fine stable two-party liberal democracy system, they could've had two parties get cycled in and out forever, and look at what it has become. The institutions got either dismantled or damaged beyond repair. They might be acting rationally in the short term, but they don't appear to realize the side effects of what they're doing in the long term.

Expand full comment

Calling for unity is a great way for the Left to dodge blame. The alternatives would be taking responsibility or ramping up the rhetoric. By calling for unity they can still pretend to be reasonable and rational. They'll be back to their usual attacks before long. Trump will govern like Reagan but that won't make the Left hate him any less. That's how he governed last time after all. There probably won't be a civil war but there's not going to be unity either.

Expand full comment

Would you anticipate then that the tipping point many of us anticipate, that due to demographics the right will no longer be able to win national elections, will not occur as public opinion and the party platform will simply shift so the Kayfabe can continue? The Republican path to victory is increasingly narrow and Heritage Americans are being squeezed from above by Indian white collar workers taking executive roles using the advantage of being “diverse” and below by Hispanic workers taking the blue collar path. We the middle are running out of options for a meaningful life.

Expand full comment

The pressing issue of our time in both the U.S and Europe is both legal and illegal immigration. We all were massively disappointed by his 1st term. What makes his base think the 2nd time around will be more productive? He was neutered a long time ago. Much of illegal immigration exists and has a degree of prominence precisely to give figures like Trump slack; he can clamp down on obvious illegal immigration while turning a blind eye with our replacements from India and Asia being flown into airports as "legal" immigrants. Zero effect on demographic replacement. It still blows my mind how passionate the mainstream Right is about illegal immigration, but completely fine with flooding the country with high IQ foreign competitors and subversives who have nothing but disdain for the White European.

Expand full comment

They're not though. No one supports legal immigration except the oligarchs who control people like Trump. It's just top down force.

Expand full comment

I hope so! I'm sure more people will become more vocal the more changes take place. It's just nauseating hearing from some people giving Indian/Asian immigrants a free pass because they are "peaceful and educated". They are just as insidious and destructive as any other group. They have high in-group preference and white-collar Whites are noticing this as well. A buddy of mine worked for a finance firm and they hired a Korean 2 years before and this korean ended up getting promoted over my friend who was in the firm longer. Before he knew it, he was the only White guy in a sea of koreans. They got him fired recently and ended up hiring another korean in his place. They were given preferential treatment like all groups do especially the "High IQ" ones. They are no friends to Whites. They see us as competitors just like any other group does. Any White person with high political IQ can recognize clear ethnic patterns in post-White American political and financial decision-making.

Expand full comment

That type of blatant ethnocentrism should not be ignored. Your friend should have addressed it directly, possibly by alerting everyone through an #allstaff email about the explicit racism and creating awareness—especially if they are not planning to stay in that environment for long. As you mentioned, these people are locust, feeding off the resources of a nation they do not belong to, in an illegitimate manner.

Expand full comment

I completely agree with you! I don't know why he didn't make it a bigger issue. He definitely should have sued. That's the thing James, ethnocentrism is what makes them and any other group strong. Individualism and seeing others as "individuals" is the downfall of Western people because we are the only ones that practice it. Instances like won't stop until Whites put their foot down throughout the West and start collectivizing and start doing things in the interest of their families and people. The hemorrhaging will not stop until that happens.

Expand full comment

It’s interesting how at his core, AA believes the regime in the sense that he believes that they are competent and can regain messaging control. The reality is the base of the left (and even of the center left) are radically anti trump. Many of them see the COVID pivot as a deep betrayal, and see Jan 6th as unforgivable sacrilege. Even if the ruling elite of the left want “unity”, do they have the ability to truly fully discipline and most importantly actually control their non ruling elites?

A “unity” regime among the elites doesn’t help stabilize the regime if blue and red America both hate each other and the regime for daring to compromise. Is the historical moment closer to the Gracchi brothers of Ancient Rome or the wars of religion in France? In AA’s world, civil wars and factionalism don’t happen because “a competent elite would avoid this at all costs.”

I agree that people should avoid “The Slop”, but there is something overall static and end of history about AA narrative.

Expand full comment

The only way for the regime to retain stability going forward is…probably a combination of violence & extremely tyrannical policies. Which will probably only escalate tensions.

Expand full comment

You are also right about The Slop, about the rapidly spreading top-down firmware update, and the BlueAnon and RedAnon hysteria-rabble stuck permanently in 2018. I am slightly less confident than you that the regime acts rationally in preservation of its own continued power. That has been an article of faith all my life, but the events of the past few years have shaken that faith considerably. I hope you are correct.

Expand full comment

good point. This idea of rational actors behaving strategically in a way that is most beneficial to them is also a myth. By the way, it originates in a theory which the regime is very fond of, game theory / micro economics. To the regime, everything is incentives, every move of a human can be steered with positive and negative incentives, because humans rationally react to whatever incentive is in front of them. Best applied example was the COVID terror. Nudging and all that other BS

Expand full comment

"For they have sown the wind, and shall reap the whirlwind." Hosea 8:7

One cannot put the whirlwind back in the box. There is a lot of broken people out there who are in charge, and putting the woke away requires forgiveness, which is largely a Christian value, and the regime is not Christian. I do agree that the regime will say anything to retain power, but their corruption and incompetence are so apparent that their words are wind.

Expand full comment

Extremely accurate analysis.

Authors like Charles Haywood mistake that ideology is what rules individuals. Truth is people change ideologies all the time when their sense of right and wrong tells them to. This sense comes from something deeper than ideology, call it ethos or religion, that is all but impossible for people to change because they are rarely conscious of it.

We are engaged in a hidden religious war with people not inculcated with the message of Jesus Christ and its not the "woke"

Expand full comment

Let me play devil's advocate for a second. What, fundamentally, is the difference between ideology and ethos or religion?

Expand full comment

I think ideology exists in the conscious mind while religion is an iceberg that barely shows itself. This is the reason that Woke so resembles Christianity, it's believers are still fundamentally Christian in their outlook.

Expand full comment

Your “we” is not the world, sorry.

Expand full comment

Confused. Are you saying the shot was staged and the blood fake or something? Either it was real and he miraculously escaped with his life or, as you imply, it was somehow faked.

Expand full comment
Jul 15·edited Jul 15

I thought that too but I don't think he is saying it was an elite job, rather that the elite are reacting to it in a unified and sensible way, (Sensible for there own needs)

Expand full comment

Right, thanks. I can believe and go along with that, for sure, but if it was former then that's a level of skizophrenic paranoid analysis I am not prepared to entertain! The question remains though, regardless of the media framing, if it was a direct attempt on his life, will the people involved (high up) try again?

Expand full comment

I think it was a mentally ill kid that believed all the media hype calling trump a fascist. If the true deep state wanted to assassinate him he would probably be dead.

Expand full comment

So there’s never been a failed assassination attempt — the record shows 100/100?

Expand full comment

Well how did he learn to shoot like that? Clipped is head at 150 yards is not an amateur shot. Likewise, if they wanted him taken out, they would also need someone to blame and divert attention. I personally doubt it was a random kid and the ss just happened to be completely defective.

Expand full comment

I'm from Europe so I don't know much about shooting. The first time I ever fired a gun I hit a rabbit in the head at 30 yards out. There is a marksman in my office that recons that would be an easy enough shot seen as he was stationary at a podium.

Expand full comment

The literal best snipers in the world are saying none of them could *guarantee* the ear shot and equally could not guarantee no risk a fatal shot. While they do practice such shots (aspirin at 200m) they would never guarantee making such shots. And that's assuming there was a hidden second shooter so be this kid had basic competency at best.

Expand full comment

Well it's all conjecture at this point. We'll find out in due course if there's another attempt. I find the timing though, 2 days before Republican nomination, very suspicious. And there are those who would stand to benefit from getting a shill like Nikki Hailey into office.

Expand full comment

The myth of infallible competence of the Deep State is as wrong and as dangerous as the myth of regimes always acting rationally in their own interests.

Expand full comment

“if it was a direct attempt on his life” … disqualifies you from any serious commentary. Anyone who is unaware of the role of political assassination in the US (nay, the West itself and the West’s role in assassinations worldwide) needs to do some background reading before even pondering the idea of making a “contribution” here.

Expand full comment

Appreciate and value your contribution.

Expand full comment

Who are you addressing this comment to?

Expand full comment

James — but your comments are equally jejeune, so consider yourself part of the intended.

Expand full comment
Jul 15·edited Jul 15

You are being incoherent J. Neither of us denied the reality of political assassinations, also its not your place to disqualify anyone from anything. James and myself were just ruminating on what might have happened. Neither James, myself or yourself know what really happened. You haven't added anything to the conversation other than declaring yourself all-knowing on an event you know nothing about.

Expand full comment

My first actual point was that the shot couldn't have been faked, I think you just have some trouble following a written argument.

Expand full comment