The Regime Wanted Trump and Kamala Harris Was a Jobber

For months, I have maintained that Trump would win the election comfortably with minimal controversy, that there would not be any great violence, or civil war, and that Trump would turn out to be a Ronald Reagan type unity candidate who will put the woke away and enact The Rufo Reich. I developed most of these arguments on YouTube and Twitter rather than laying them out in a big Substack post, which has led to many mistaken critiques of what exactly it was I said because of course, in 2024, why would anyone bother to watch a video to see what you actually said? This then leads certain people to substitute their own head canon meme notion of what it was you said for what you actually said. But, nonetheless, I did formalise my position in several places which anyone with half a braincell can check.  I first mentioned that the media were signalling heavily for a Trump win in a video on the 5^th February 2024 called ‘How to Read the Media (and Avoid Getting Manipulated)’. The basic position was developed on weekly streams with audiences of over 30,000 people and on twitter. I summarised them in two Twitter posts made on the day Harris replaced Biden as the candidate and then again a month or so out from the election. You can see them here:

These arguments reached their final real form in a video called Kamala Harris: Jobber published on the 9^th October 2024, and were reiterated with some more recent evidence on the morning before the election on 5^th November 2024 in a video called Three Indicators Trump Will Win, I then repeated some of these basic takes in videos after the results had come in called Donald Trump Wins Huge; Kamala Harris is a Complete Jobber and The Five Principles I Used to Predict Trump’s Big Win. This argument is out there multiple times, so why am I writing this post? Frankly, for three reasons. First, I am irritated by people claiming things for the argument that I never stated. Second, these substack articles are much more likely to find themselves published in book-form one day, so it is easier to have one post outlining the basic claims for posterity. Third, because three people who took particularly against this take – Keith Woods, Charles Haywood, and Auron Macintyre – all have one thing in common, and an issue on which they have clashed with me before: they believe that ideology is primary and that power follows ideology, whereas I believe that power is primary and that ideology follows power. I need not rehash that more general debate, I had my final word on it here, but suffice it to say that my analysis is based solely on analysing power and making predictions based on what it signals, while they each remain mired in the various froths of ideological culture wars.

All the way back in 2022, in a well-publicised talk, called The Octopus, I argued contra-Yarvin that power flowed in the regime not from media and universities to everything else, but rather from money to all the other organs. I also argued that the regime comprised two competing factions, one broadly committed to American power and Israel and the other generally committed to trans-national globalist governance. We can call these two factions ‘Zionists’ and ‘Techno-Globalists’. These two positions are very neatly symbolised in the recent debate between Ben Shapiro (a Zionist) and Sam Harris (a techno-globalist). There was a serious question as to which of these two factions held ultimate power. During the Covid years, it seriously felt like the latter. However, now, and especially since the Hamas attacks in Israel on 10/7 the data is in. In the USA, at any rate, it is the former group that holds ultimate Schmittian power and not the latter. When pro-Palestinian campus protests were quickly shut down, and Claudine Gay was ousted from her Presidency at Harvard, as billions of dollars of university funding were being pulled by pro-Israeli donors, this was a clear and obvious show of power. When Joe Biden started to try to appease some of the leftist base, it also became quite clear that many pro-Israeli voices had shifted hard towards Donald Trump. The most showy and vocal of these was Michael Rapaport who went from Trump hater to MAGA practically overnight. Most slop merchants and consumers of slop have likely forgotten his histrionics in the weeks leading up to that conversion, but I haven’t. There were many similar conversions around that time. I noticed around February, the top-line tier one media tone towards Biden had changed, he no longer had the usual protections, and likewise there was a more neutral or even friendly tone about Trump. The great thing about the internet is that you can record yourself noting these things and then link back to them, so you can check them out (see the above mentioned video on reading the media). At the same time, Trump was winning around powerful billionaires such as Elon Musk, who had been reluctant to support him and even backed Ron DeSantis in 2023. You might not remember all of this, but I do. After the assassination attempt, more billionaires ‘came around’ on Trump to at least a neutral stance, including Mark Zuckerberg and even Jeff Bezos. Thus Trump was backed by at least two powerful groups of elites now: broadly speaking, Zionists and ‘based billionaires’.

By the time we got to the internal coup of Biden and his replacement with Kamala Harris, I pretty much instantly knew Trump was going to win. The reasons for this were quite straightforward:

• Trump was backed by the more powerful faction.

• Harris was objectively an atrocious candidate.

Based on this I could also confidently predict a smaller but related claim:

• That Blueanon would be constantly blue balled, and none of the legal cases against Trump would get anywhere whatsoever (now proven in fact).

When it transpired that Josh Shapiro and Gavin Newsom were ducking her campaign, that Biden was not going to stand down as President but limp on undermining her where he could, that Bill Maher would repeatedly make jokes at her expense to his sneering liberal audience, it started to become not just obvious, but a lock, and this is where my confidence in the call grew strong enough to make the video.

The drivers for putting the woke away have never changed. I’ll list them for the hundredth time:

• The system needs legitimacy and competence so that people who have lost trust in their institutions buy back in.

• White boys need to sign back into the military so that they can die once more in their wars.

• Top of the line power brokers have loudly signalled their intention to do so.

• ‘Jews Don’t Count’ (title of a David Baddiel book).

Trump will achieve all this and save the American Republican, he does not come as Caesar but as the man who will fix America, return it to 90s liberal values, and remove the toxic aberration of ‘woke’. People may not wish to believe this, but that’s because they are partial, emotional, wedded to their thing, but this has always been the mission for MAGA, the only way is through as they say. I have long since stopped caring about persuading anyone with entrenched beliefs: if there’s one thing you can learn from Daniel Kahneman or Jonathan Haidt, it’s that confirmation bias once established will become entrenched. That even in the face of overwhelming facts, people will dig in even more rather than change their position. There are numerous heuristics such as sunk cost that explain this. This is why I never do debates. But as evidence piles up, as events go exactly the way I said they would time and again, it could be because their model of how reality works is further away from the truth than mine. There could be some factor missing in their thinking which I am seeing, and they are not. That is, of course, if they are doing value-free analysis, which is the business I am in, rather than ‘doing politics’, which is the business, for example, that Ben Shapiro is in. I don’t believe in democracy. My view is that more people did vote for Trump because MAGA is objectively where most Americans are. Power decides whether to accept that or not. Power did not accept it in 2020 but does now in 2024 (largely due to 10/7)